Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001449 0.001527 0.001607 0.001695 0.001790 0.001889 0.002000
2025-06-08 0.001330 0.001442 0.001561 0.001698 0.001851 0.002018 0.002215
2025-06-15 0.001234 0.001366 0.001511 0.001682 0.001881 0.002106 0.002379
2025-06-22 0.001163 0.001310 0.001475 0.001676 0.001914 0.002191 0.002540
2025-06-29 0.001101 0.001258 0.001437 0.001660 0.001931 0.002253 0.002672
2025-07-06 0.001046 0.001210 0.001400 0.001640 0.001939 0.002303 0.002788
2025-07-13 0.000987 0.001153 0.001349 0.001600 0.001917 0.002312 0.002848
2025-07-20 0.000957 0.001129 0.001336 0.001605 0.001951 0.002390 0.003001
2025-07-27 0.000932 0.001111 0.001328 0.001614 0.001990 0.002475 0.003166
2025-08-03 0.000915 0.001100 0.001328 0.001634 0.002042 0.002578 0.003361
2025-08-10 0.000889 0.001077 0.001312 0.001630 0.002061 0.002638 0.003497
2025-08-17 0.000853 0.001040 0.001276 0.001599 0.002041 0.002643 0.003552
2025-08-24 0.000823 0.001012 0.001251 0.001584 0.002047 0.002687 0.003675
2025-08-31 0.000803 0.000996 0.001243 0.001591 0.002083 0.002776 0.003872
2025-09-07 0.000777 0.000971 0.001221 0.001579 0.002091 0.002824 0.004008
2025-09-14 0.000756 0.000951 0.001205 0.001573 0.002107 0.002885 0.004167
2025-09-21 0.000733 0.000927 0.001184 0.001558 0.002109 0.002924 0.004293
2025-09-28 0.000710 0.000903 0.001161 0.001541 0.002106 0.002954 0.004405
2025-10-05 0.000682 0.000871 0.001126 0.001503 0.002071 0.002932 0.004430
2025-10-12 0.000669 0.000860 0.001119 0.001508 0.002099 0.003011 0.004630
2025-10-19 0.000658 0.000852 0.001116 0.001517 0.002134 0.003102 0.004857
2025-10-26 0.000651 0.000848 0.001119 0.001535 0.002184 0.003220 0.005140
2025-11-02 0.000638 0.000835 0.001109 0.001531 0.002200 0.003281 0.005323